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Commentary: A Ban on
Asbestos Must be Based on a Comparative Risk Assessment.
Camus M. CMAJ. - Feb 20, 2001
by Michel Camus
Dr. Camus is with the Health
Environments and Consumer Safety Branch, Health Canada, Montreal, Que.
In this issue (page 489), Joseph LaDou and
colleagues on behalf of the Collegium Ramazzini1
call for an immediate and total ban on "asbestos" products because
the current health risks associated with the use of "asbestos" are
not acceptable, "controlled use" is not possible and "safer"
substitutes are readily available. The logic is indisputable, but the
premises are not. First, the risks associated with chrysotile, the
type of asbestos used nowadays, are exaggerated by relying on a
single and aberrant study. Second, the statements on controlled use
and substitutes are supported neither by evidence nor by references.
Finally, the Collegium fails to consider the technical efficiency of
chrysotile and its substitutes when used in brakes and thermal
insulation. A distortion of the evidence might result in a useless
ban and possibly increased risk. This commentary presents critical
evidence omitted by the Collegium and argues that any decision to ban
"asbestos" should rely on a comparative risk assessment of chrysotile
and its substitutes.
Which asbestos products are at stake
specifically? "Asbestos" is a group of heterogeneous mineral fibres
that have some common physical characteristics and commercial uses.
The risk of developing asbestos-related diseases depends on the dose,
dimensions, durability (biopersistence) and surface reactivity of
inhaled materials. The greatest differences in the physicochemical
properties are between curly chrysotile and the more
biopersistent needle-like amphiboles (tremolite, amosite and
crocidolite). These differences entail different industrial
applications and different toxicities. For instance, amphibole fibres
were heavily used in buildings, blast furnaces and ships until 1980
in Europe because they resist high temperatures and chemically
aggressive environments better than chrysotile. These uses and the
25–50-year latency of mesothelioma are responsible for mesothelioma
clusters in ship-building areas around the world and for the
predicted peak of the mesothelioma epidemic at around 2020 in Europe.2
The much lower incidence of mesothelioma in chrysotile industries
(mining, cement, textiles and friction products) probably results
from the much shorter biopersistence and lower iron content of
chrysotile.3,4
Yet, an "asbestos" ban will only replace short, and thus less toxic,
chrysotile fibres with certain substitute materials in new
high-density cement and friction products, or it will replace fibre-containing
products with other products altogether (e.g., steel, polyvinyl
chloride [PVC]). It will not address the main cause of the
mesothelioma epidemic: extant friable products in buildings that
contain amphibole fibres.
What risks are associated with
chrysotile fibres? The Collegium claims that all asbestos fibres are
associated with similar risks of lung cancer and asbestosis, and only
marginally different risks of mesothelioma. Experienced scientists in
the field strongly disagree with this view.5,6,7,8
Risk assessments and reviews generally attribute peritoneal
mesotheliomas exclusively to amphibole fibres. The 47 cohorts of
individuals working with asbestos reviewed in the most recent and
comprehensive risk assessments9,10
show higher risks in those working with amphibole than in those
working with chrysotile. Thus, excess lung cancers occur 3 times,
pleural mesothelioma 12 times and peritoneal mesotheliomas 30 times
more frequently in mainly amphibole than in chrysotile industries for
an equal number of expected cases (see additional data in the Table
on the CMAJ Web site at
www.cma.ca/cmaj/vol-164/issue-4.htm). Exposure–response
comparisons of studies with meaningful exposure data suggest that
chrysotile workers were 4–24 times less at risk of asbestos-induced
lung cancer than amphibole workers at equal exposure.11,12
To put this in perspective, based on the exposure–response estimate
of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the lifetime risk of
an asbestos-induced lung cancer in smoking male workers exposed for
20 years to 20 fibres per millilitre of air in primarily chrysotile
industries was about 2%–10%, compared with 40% in smoking male
workers in industries using amphiboles. Risk in nonsmoking asbestos
workers was about 15 times lower in both cases.
The mining and milling industry is most
informative because fibre types are not mixed, and because it
produces fibres of different sizes for all the asbestos industries.
Of all the pleural mesotheliomas reported among chrysotile workers,
70% occurred among Quebec miners and millers, and most were traced
to coexposures to amphiboles.13
The dose-specific risks of asbestosis,14,15
lung cancer and mesothelioma are 15–50 times lower in
chrysotile miners than in amphibole miners.14,15
This seems true also for nonoccupationally exposed populations.16,17,18
In contrast to the Collegium's interpretation of our research,
my colleagues and I found that the absence of excess lung cancers
among residents of chrysotile mining towns implies a risk at least 15
times smaller than that predicted with the EPA model,17
and the number of mesotheliomas observed is at least 20 times
smaller than that predicted by the EPA model.19
The Collegium discarded previous risk
assessments and estimated risk from a single cohort of
chrysotile textile workers.20,21
Yet this cohort may well be an unrepresentative outlier.22
The ratio of excess lung cancers to mesotheliomas is 3–10
times larger than in other asbestos studies. These workers were
exposed to long amphibole fibres23
and to mineral oils. Moreover, rarely is anyone exposed to asbestos
textile fibres today. On that precarious basis, the Collegium
estimated 10 times the risk for chrysotile than that of any previous
risk assessment, yet the latter assessments were based on
30%-amphibole exposures and were construed to overestimate the risks
of chrysotile according to the EPA.24
Controlled occupational exposures today
are about 1000 times lower than in the past.25
Accordingly, lifetime risks of asbestos-related deaths in
today's chrysotile-exposed workers should be at least 1000 times
lower than in individuals who worked with an "asbestos mixture" in
the past, or less than 1–5 per 100 000 lives, that is, 20–100 times
less than the Collegium's estimate. Such risks are comparable to or
lower than risks accepted by the US National Institute for
Occupational Safety and Health in the workplace. Risk estimates based
only on chrysotile friction products and cement industries may be
lower still.26
Are substitutes definitely "safer?"
Chrysotile substitutes comprise p-aramid, polyvinyl alcohol (PVA),
cellulose, polyacrylonitrile, glass fibres, graphite,
polytetrafluoroethylene, ceramic fibres and silicon carbide whiskers.
Epidemiological evidence concerning these substitutes is scarce, and
the cohorts studied have been much less exposed than were asbestos
workers in the past. Moreover, much lower exposures and doses are
used in today's experiments on synthetic fibres and other substitutes
than in past experiments on asbestos fibres.27
So, apparent differences cannot be taken at face value.
There are reasons to doubt the safety
of substitutes for chrysotile. Glass and ceramic fibres, silicon
carbide whiskers, and rock and slag wools have been classified by the
International Agency for Research on Cancer as possible or probable
carcinogens. Any fibre can carry chemical and biological contaminants
such as cigarette tars deeply into the lung by adsorption. The lung
cancer and fibrosis health risks of asbestos substitutes depend
on the dose, dimensions, biopersistence and surface reactivity, as is
the case for asbestos fibres, but they also depend on dissolution
by-products.27
PVA and p-aramid (Kevlar) fibres are less respirable but more
biopersistent than chrysotile, and p-aramid fibres have induced
fibrosis and mesothelioma in inoculation studies.28
The biopersistence of cellulose exceeds that of chrysotile,29
cytotoxic effects have been observed30
and an epidemiological study has found chronic airflow limitations.31
Refractory ceramic fibres that complement p-aramid materials in
brake pads may be more carcinogenic than chrysotile,32,33
although one experiment failed to replicate these findings.34
All man-made fibres are carcinogenic when inoculated into the
peritoneum. One review concluded that they are at least as carcinogenic
as "asbestos" fibres when inhaled.35
Another concluded that "synthetic vitreous fibres are not appreciably
worse, fibre for fibre, than chrysotile," although mechanistic
considerations suggest that glass wool might be "5 times less
carcinogenic."36
Although the results of earlier US and
European epidemiological studies were negative or not conclusive for
lung cancer, a recent European cohort study found a dose-related
excess of oral, pharyngeal and laryngeal cancers for individuals
working with rock and slag wool (relative risk [RR] 1.5, 95%
confidence interval [CI] 1.0–2.1) and a similar, but not
statistically significant, relationship for those working with glass
wool (RR 1.4, 95% CI 0.8–2.3).37
A contemporary German case–control study found an excess risk of lung
cancer (odds ratio 1.5, 95% CI 1.2–1.9) among vitreous fibre
insulators after controlling for smoking and asbestos exposure.38
Finally, the most comprehensive and
recent review27
of human and animal data on man-made mineral fibres concludes that
ceramic fibres, rock and slag wools are "probably" and glass
wool is "possibly" carcinogenic, whereas the health effects of
other man-made substitutes cannot be evaluated at the present time.
The Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)
in France deplores27
the fact that man-made fibres have been tested without the
dust-suppressing agents and binders normally added in the industrial
process, and that experiments are now conducted at much lower doses
than those used in past studies of asbestos fibres: they state that
similar doses in carcinogenic assays of asbestos fibres would
likely have resulted in absent or nonsignificant health effects.
Finally, INSERM underlines that end points other than cancer such as
lung irritation, fibroses and dermatoses have not been adequately
considered and that the dissolution by-products of chrysotile
substitutes can reach distant organs.
Are substitutes as efficient as
chrysotile in safety applications? Some important product safety
issues have been raised by ancillary sources. Asbestos–cement pipes
are being replaced by PVC and ductile steel pipes. Yet, as mentioned
in the 1991 ruling that overturned the EPA's asbestos ban, "The EPA
agency concedes the population cancer risk for production of ductile
iron pipe could be comparable to the population cancer risk for
production of A/C pipe."39
Apparently, PVC pipe systems in buildings can spread flames from
floor to floor and can release hydrogen chloride gas, dioxin and
other organochlorines in the case of a fire.40
Concerning brakes, the head of the Society of Automotive Engineers'
Brake Committee stated, "P-aramid, glass fiber and several glass-like
fibers have substantially higher friction wet than dry and provide
less dimensional stability to friction materials, especially
large drum brake lining segments."41
According to this engineer, substitute products have been responsible
for brake problems with General Motors X-body cars and for the
fracturing of thousands of heavy-truck brake drums each year.
Asbestos brakes are now installed again in US luxury cars to lower
insurance expenses.41
Substitutes may be more efficient in other safety applications,
however, the performance risks of asbestos substitutes are poorly
documented. Such safety issues cannot simply be ignored and should be
addressed in a proper risk assessment of the substitutes for
chrysotile.
Under what exposure conditions are
substitutes safer? Although INSERM insists that exposure to asbestos
substitutes should be kept as low as possible, the Collegium does not
caution against such exposures and communicates a false sense of
security that might result in higher exposure to substitutes than to
chrysotile. Today's health standards tolerate 5–20 times more
exposure to glass, rock and slag wools than to chrysotile fibres. If
those standards were applied after an asbestos ban, the substitutes
would have to be more than 5–20 times less toxic than
chrysotile to reduce risk. If substitutes are less hazardous than
chrysotile by an unknown factor, then the same exposure limits and
standards should apply to substitutes as to chrysotile. Indeed, even
present exposures to substitutes could entail greater health risks
than chrysotile exposures.
Likewise, the critical problem of
poorly controlled environments (e.g., developing countries)
underlined by the Collegium cannot be solved by substitution alone.
In addition to the risks of substitute materials, coexposures to
carcinogens contained in asbestos products (e.g., respirable quartz)
entail health risks; such exposures must be minimized by education
and by enforcing laws and regulations. A ban is not a sufficient
solution and product users must be warned about the need to apply
similar safety controls and procedures to asbestos and its
substitutes. The conditions of a ban are critical.
Over the last 20 years, risk assessment
methods have been developed for regulating or recommending exposure
standards. In this context, the uncertainties, inconsistencies and
gaps in knowledge in risk assessments have been dealt with by the
precautionary principle, namely, by making assumptions and
choosing models that tend to overestimate risks. In this case, to ban
is to substitute and one must apply the precautionary principle
equally to chrysotile and to its substitutes. This comparative
risk approach differs from traditional risk assessment. The
Collegium applies the precautionary principle to chrysotile but not
to its substitutes, with the result that the proposed ban could do
more harm than good.
Other aspects not considered here
involve the costs of sanitation piping to developing nations and the
transfer of jobs from poor asbestos-producing countries to affluent
nations producing substitutes. The Collegium's call to ban asbestos
is insufficient in all respects. A ban must be assessed more
thoughtfully following a comparative risk approach before being
adopted. The progressive introduction of safe, efficient substitutes
should proceed apace but with evidence-based safety assurance, in
concordance with the precautionary principle.
Acknowledgments
I thank Dr. Bruce Case, pathologist and epidemiologist at McGill
University, for his helpful suggestions and critical comments.
Footnotes
This paper presents personal views that do not necessarily reflect
the views or policies of Health Canada.
References
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